Sports playing are often very profitable if you know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a ideal example. I actually analyzed this West Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the match. However , I actually also understood that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not guess on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This video game has all the indications of being one regarding the very best games involving the year, having both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming back again from staying down big in the next 1 fourth to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the action seem like this year?
In the event this video game were being played with some sort of simple field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically บาคาร่าที่คนเล่นเยอะที่สุด was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.
These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the added in benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like substantially, but in a close up match-up this way, that more point will make the variation between a good push plus a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home game titles.
Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since 12 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for every game at home, while averaging only stopping 15. 8 points every game at home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means since their own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their opposing team by about 34 points per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by means of 13 factors per video game at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
The majority of those stats were accumulated during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They are yet to got recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The bottom line is that this is still a good close video game to contact. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off this game and not gamble at all. There will be better games this quick with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return a punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big which they may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that game, people severe about sports betting saved money that they can put to better apply on coming games.